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John Curtice delivers verdict on whether local elections will be make or break for PM


Professor Curtice continued: “Outside of London its disproportionately Labour areas, and it’s only one-third of the council seats up for grabs in most areas, which again limits the chances of changes of control.

“I can find you councils on the fingers of two hands that perhaps the Conservatives might lose control, but frankly at the moment it’s unlikely.

“If it were to be much more than that, then indeed the Conservative’s position in the local elections will be markedly worse.

“This is, therefore, a set of local elections where if Tory MPs are saying there hasn’t been enormous losses, therefore it’s okay with Boris, they are at least at risk of being led astray by the way they are reading the results.”



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