Based on the latest polling, the Tories would win 237 seats if an election were to be held tomorrow compared to the 365 landslide they secured in December 2019. However, the New Statesman polling shows Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour Party securing 314 MPs, 12 short of the 326 needed to secure a Commons majority.
The blow in the polls comes as senior Tory MP David Davis warned the party faces “dying a death of 1,000 cuts” if it does not act swiftly to oust Mr Johnson over allegations of rule-breaking parties in Downing Street.
Mr Davis told the Prime Minister to “in the name of God, go” in the Commons on Wednesday shortly after one of the party’s newest MPs, Bury South’s Christian Wakeford, defected to Labour.
He said he refused to “defend the indefensible” as he switched sides.
Mr Johnson’s premiership looks increasingly fragile as a group of Tories who won their seats in the 2019 election appeared to have lost faith in the PM.
No.10 has said Mr Johnson will fight any no-confidence vote launched against him and insisted he expects to fight the next general election.
Mr Johnson’s press secretary told Reuters he would have further meetings with MPs as he attempted to shore up support on his back benches.
In an interview with the Daily Telegraph, Mr Davis said: “The party is going to have to make a decision or we face dying a death of 1,000 cuts.”
The MP for Haltemprice and Howden said the Prime Minister will appear to be shifting the blame if he fires staff after top civil servant Sue Gray delivers the findings of her inquiry into events held at No.10 during COVID-19 restrictions.
READ MORE ON COVID RESTRICTIONS IN ENGLAND BEING SCRAPPED
The New Statesman polling shows the Lib Dems gaining 13 seats to bring its total number of MPs to 24 while the SNP would gain three MPs totalling 51 seats.
It comes after a poll on voting intention released on January 15 from Opinium Research put Labour ahead on 41 percent, a rise of two points.
The Tories are now polling at 31 percent, a three-point plunge from the last poll on January 5 and January 7.
Pollsters surveyed 1,271 likely voters. The Liberal Democrats polled nine percent after a two point drop with the Green Party at six percent, representing a rise of one percentage point.
Opinium said: “The latest poll is not just the largest Labour lead we have recorded this parliament, but the largest Labour lead in any Opinium Research poll since October 2013.”
Opinium also found in another survey carried out from January 12 to January 14 that the Prime Minister’s approval rating has plunged in the wake of the Downing Street partygate scandal.
Mr Johnson has a net approval rating of -42 percent with 64 percent disapproving and 22 percent approving of the PM.
The PM’s approval rating has dropped eight percent while his disapproval rating has climbed 10 percent since Opinium’s last poll covering the period January 5-7.